Sunday, January 16, 2011

2011 Top 30 Starting Pitching Prospects




1. Julio Teheran - RHP - ATL - 6'2" 150 - 1.27.91. Signed: Columbia 2007. Teheran has everything you look for in a pitcher. A live arm that consistently produces mid 90's fastballs, good secondary stuff and command of all pitches.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

2-2

1.14

7

7

0

0

0

39.1

23

10

45

0.839

2010

CAR

A+

4-4

2.98

10

10

0

0

0

63.1

56

13

76

1.089

2010

SO

AA

3-2

3.28

7

7

0

0

0

40.0

29

17

38

1.150

2010

TOT

3Lgs

9-8

2.59

24

24

0

0

0

142.2

108

40

159

1.037


2. Jeremy Hellickson - RHP - TB - 6'1" 185 - 4.8.87. High School: Des Moines (IA) Drafted: 4th Round 2005. The Matt Garza trade to the Cubs opens up a rotation spot for last year's Minor League Player of the Year. I had the pleasure of watching Hellickson pitch last year, click here for my scouting report.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

IL

AAA

12-3

2.45

21

21

0

0

0

117.2

103

35

123

1.173

2010

AL

MLB

4-0

3.47

10

4

0

0

0

36.1

32

8

33

1.101


3. Michael Pineda - RHP - SEA - 6'5" 250 - 1.18.89. Signed: Dominican Republic 2005. Just as I'm partial to patient hitter, I'm a sucker for power pitchers especially when they throw 100, and post a K/9 of 9.9 to just 2.2 BB/9.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SL

AA

8-1

2.22

13

13

0

0

0

77

67

17

78

1.091

2010

PCL

AAA

3-3

4.76

12

12

0

0

0

62.1

54

17

76

1.139

2010

TOT

2Lgs

11-4

3.36

25

25

0

0

0

139.1

121

34

154

1.112


4. Jamison Taillon - RHP - PIT - 6'5" 225 - 11.18.91. High School: Woodlands (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (2nd Overall) 2010. Had Bryce Harper not decided to forgo his junior and senior year of high school to attend junior college in order to become draft eligible a year early, Taillon would have been the first overall pick last year. He'll join Stetson Allie at the Pirates loaded Low A West Virginia affiliate.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

-

HS

8-1

1.78

11

-

-

-

-

62

42

21

114

-


5. Matt Moore - LHP - TB - 6'2" 205 - 6.18.89. High School: Edgewood (NM) Drafted: 8th Round 2007. All Moore has done is lead the minor leagues in strikeouts in each of the past two years. From 2007-2010 he's posted K/9 ratios of 12.8, 12.8, 12.9 and 12.9.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

6-11

3.36

26

26

0

0

0

144.2

109

61

208

1.175


6. Zach Britton - LHP - BAL - 6'3" 195 - 12.22.87. High School: Weatherford (TX) Drafted: 3rd Round 2006. It should also be noted that I'm a sucker for lefties with plus change ups and Britton possesses just that.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

7-3

2.48

15

14

0

0

0

87

76

28

68

1.195

2010

IL

AAA

3-4

2.98

12

12

0

0

0

66.1

63

23

56

1.296

2010

TOT

2Lgs

10-7

2.70

27

26

0

0

0

153.1

139

51

124

1.239


7. Shelby Miller - RHP - STL - 6'3" 195 - 10.10.90. High School: Brownwood (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (19th Overall) 2009. The 2009 draft was loaded with prep pitching talent and Miller had the most impressive debut among his peers. He posted a dominant 12.1 K/9 in the Midwest League on his way to being named the league's #2 prospect.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

7-5

3.62

24

24

0

0

0

104.1

97

33

140

1.246


8. Jarrod Parker - RHP - ARI - 6'1" 180 - 11.24.88. High School: Ossian (IN) Drafted: 1st Round (9th Overall) 2007. Parker was on his way to becoming one of the top prospects in baseball before having Tommy John surgery. He's now back and will start the year in AA.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2009

CAL

A+

1-0

0.95

4

4

0

0

0

19

12

4

21

0.842

2009

SO

AA

4-6

3.68

16

16

0

0

0

78.1

82

34

74

1.481

2009

TOT

2 Lgs

5-6

3.14

20

20

0

0

0

97.1

94

38

95

1.356


9. Jacob Turner - RHP - DET - 6'5" 210 - 5.21.91. High School: St. Charles (MO) Drafted: 1st Round (9th Overall) 2009.Turner drew Rick Porcello comps for his size, stuff and bonus demands and ended up with the same Detroit Tigers. Here's hoping the Tigers don't have Turner skip AA and AAA like they did with Porcello.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

2-3

3.67

11

10

0

0

0

54

53

9

51

1.148

2010

FSL

A+

4-2

2.93

13

13

0

0

0

61.1

53

14

51

1.148

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

6-5

3.28

24

23

0

0

0

115.1

106

23

102

1.118


10. Martin Perez - LHP - TEX - 6'0" 180 - 4.4.91. Signed: Venezuela 2007. Perez had a rough go at AA in 2010 but he did it as a 19 year old. I haven't lost faith.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

TL

AA

5-8

5.96

24

23

0

0

0

99.2

117

50

101

1.676


11. Kyle Drabek - RHP - TOR - 6'1" 190 - 12.8.87. High School: Victoria (TX) Drafted: 1st Round (18th Overall) 2006. Like Parker, Drabek is a brave Tommy John survivor. He has a chance to make the Jays rotation out of spring training and even if he doesn't, he'll still get around 20 MLB starts.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

14-9

2.94

27

27

1

1

0

162

126

68

132

1.198

2010

AL

MLB

0-3

4.76

3

3

0

0

0

17

18

5

12

1.353


12. Randall Delgado - RHP - ATL - 6'3" 165 - 2.9.90. Signed: Panama 2006. Delgado draws comparisons to his farmmate Julio Teheran because of his electric arm and strikeout ability. Like Teheran he has 3 potential plus pitches and controls them well. He'll start the 2011 season in AA and could be in Atlanta by season's end.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAR

A+

4-7

2.76

20

20

0

0

0

117.1

89

32

120

1.031

2010

SO

AA

3-5

4.74

8

8

0

0

0

43.2

36

20

42

1.282

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

7-12

3.30

28

28

0

0

0

161

125

52

162

1.099


13. Mike Montgomery - LHP - KC - 6'5" 180 - 7.1.89. High School: Valencia (CA) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (36th Overall) 2008. Like I said, I'm a sucker for lefties who throw a plus change up.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

ARI

Rk

0-1

1.04

3

3

0

0

0

8.2

6

1

7

0.808

2010

CAR

A+

2-0

1.09

4

4

0

0

0

24.2

14

4

33

0.730

2010

TL

AA

5-4

3.47

13

13

0

0

0

59.2

56

26

48

1.374

2010

TOT

3Lgs

7-5

2.61

20

20

0

0

0

93

76

31

88

1.151


14. Tyler Matzek - LHP - COL - 6'3" 210 - 10.19.90. High School: Mission Viejo (CA) Drafted: 1st Round (11th Overall) 2009. It came down too the 11th hour, but the Rockies signed Matzek away from his Oregon commitment for $3.9MM. Matzek has dominant stuff but his 6.2 BB/9 is a little scary.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

5-1

2.92

18

18

0

0

0

89.1

62

62

88

1.388


15. Kyle Gibson - RHP - MIN - 6'6" 210 - 10.23.87. College: Missouri Drafted: 1st Round (23rd overall) 2009. Gibson doesn't possess true ace "stuff" but he's a good bet to have a solid MLB career.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

4-1

1.87

7

7

1

0

0

43.1

33

12

40

1.038

2010

EL

AA

7-5

3.68

16

16

1

0

0

93

91

22

77

1.215

2010

IL

AAA

0-0

1.72

3

3

0

0

0

15.2

12

5

9

1.085

2010

TOT

3 Lgs

11-6

2.96

26

26

2

1

0

152

136

39

126

1.151


16. Simon Castro - RHP - SD - 6'5" 210 - 4.9.88. Signed: Dominican Republic 2006. Castro skipped high A and put together a solid campaign in AA ahead of schedule.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

AA

TL

7-6

2.92

24

23

0

0

0

129.2

107

36

107

1.103

2010

AAA

PCL

0-1

7.84

2

2

0

0

0

10.1

16

6

6

2.129

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

7-7

3.28

26

25

0

0

0

140

123

42

113

1.179


17. Zach Wheeler - RHP - SF - 6'3" 180 - 5.30.90. High School: Dallas (GA) Drafted: 1st Round (6th Overall) 2009. San Francisco's newest pitching phenom had a solid 2010, his first as a professional. Like Matzek, he'll need to keep the walks in check.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

SAL

A-

3-3

3.99

21

13

0

0

0

58.2

47

38

70

1.449


18. Mike Minor - LHP - ATL - 6'3" 210 - 12.26.87. College: Vanderbilt Drafted: 1st Round (7th Overall) 2009. The former Commodore was much more dominate in 2010 than I anticipated (10.9 K/9). While he was hit hard after his August 9th call up, he should open the season in Atlanta.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

AA

SO

2-6

4.03

15

15

0

0

0

87

74

34

109

1.241

2010

AAA

IL

4-1

1.89

6

6

0

0

0

33.1

19

12

37

0.930

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

6-7

3.44

21

21

0

0

0

120.1

93

46

146

1.155

2010

NL

MLB

3-2

5.98

9

8

0

0

0

40.2

53

11

43

1.57


19. Jordan Lyles - RHP - HOU - 6'4" 185 - 10.19.90. High School: Hartsville (SC) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (38th Overall) 2008. I'm not as high on Lyles as most and the reason is primarily the 9.2 H/9 line he's had in his minor league career.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

TL

AA

7-9

3.12

21

20

1

0

0

127

133

35

115

1.323

2010

PCL

AAA

0-3

5.40

6

6

1

0

0

31.2

48

11

22

1.863

2010

TOT

2Lgs

7-12

3.57

27

26

2

0

0

158.2

181

46

137

1.431


20. Chris Archer - RHP - TB - 6'3" 180 - 9.26.88. High School: Raleigh (NC) Drafted: 5th Round (Indians). Archer has put together back to back great seasons as a Cubs farm hand. We'll see if he carries that momentum with him to the Tampa organization.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

7-1

2.86

15

14

0

0

0

72.1

54

26

82

1.106

2010

SO

AA

8-2

1.80

13

13

0

0

0

70

48

39

67

1.243

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

15-3

2.34

28

27

0

0

0

142.1

102

65

149

1.173


21. Jenrry Mejia - RHP - NYM - 6'0" 160 - 10.11.89. Signed: Dominican Republic 2007. I'm not a fan of the way the Mets handled Mejia in 2010, but he'll enter 2011 focused on starting. He can always use a future move to the bullpen as plan B.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

GCL

Rk

0-0

3.00

1

1

0

0

0

3

4

1

3

1.667

2010

FSL

A+

0-0

0.00

1

1

0

0

0

4

1

0

7

0.250

2010

EL

AA

2-0

1.32

6

6

1

1

0

27.1

19

14

26

1.207

2010

IL

AAA

0-0

1.12

1

1

0

0

0

8

5

1

9

0.750

2010

TOT

4Lgs

2-0

1.28

9

9

1

1

0

42.1

29

16

45

1.063

2010

NL

MLB

0-4

4.62

33

3

0

0

0

39

46

20

22

1.692


22. Casey Kelly - RHP - SD - 6'3" 210 - 10.4.89. High School: Sarasota (FL) Drafted: 1st Round (30th Overall) 2008. The Red Sox signed Kelly away from a Tennessee football scholarship with the promise that they'd let him play shortstop. After he fizzled out with the bat, they convinced him to devote himself to the mound. He had a stellar 2009 but stumbled in 2010. Kelly's stock is still high and he was the centerpiece on a package that landed Adrien Gonzalez.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

EL

AA

3-5

5.31

21

21

0

0

0

95

118

35

81

1.611


23. Jake Odorizzi - RHP - KC - 6'2" 175 - 3.27.90. High School: Highland (IL) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (32nd Overall). A promising season in the Midwest League propelled Odorizzi be named the top prospect in Milwaukee prior to being shipped to Kansas City as part of a prospect package that returned Zack Greinke.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

7-3

3.43

23

20

0

0

1

120.2

99

40

135

1.152


24. Alex White - RHP - CLE - 6'3" 200 - 8.29.88. College: North Carolina Drafted: 1st Round (15th Overall) 2009. White led his Tar Heals team to Omaha in 2009 with a mid 90's fastball and a tumbling splitter. His first full season as a professional was largely successful using that same repertoire. He'll spend 2011 in AAA Columbus so I'll have some video soon.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

CAR

A+

2-3

2.86

8

8

0

0

0

44

32

19

41

1.159

2010

EL

AA

8-7

2.28

18

17

0

0

0

106.2

91

27

76

1.106

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

10-10

2.45

26

25

0

0

0

150.2

123

46

117

1.122


25. Dellin Betances - NYY - RHP - 6'8" 245 - 3.23.88. High School: New York Drafted: 8th Round 2006. Reminds me of Seattle's Michael Pineda. Maybe it's because they're both built like NFL Tight Ends.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

FSL

A+

8-1

1.77

14

14

0

0

0

71

43

19

88

0.873

2010

EL

AA

0-0

3.77

3

3

0

0

0

14.1

10

3

20

0.907

2010

TOT

2 Lgs

8-1

2.11

17

17

0

0

0

85.1

53

22

108

0.879


26. Drew Pomeranz - LHP - CLE - 6'5" 230 - 11.22.88. College: Mississippi Drafted: 1st Round (#5 overall) 2010. The 2010 college pitching draft class provided good depth and star power at the front and I think Pomeranz is the best in the bunch.


Year

Class

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2008

FR

SEC

4-3

4.16

17

11

0

0

0

71

76

30

81

1.49

2009

SO

SEC

8-4

3.40

16

16

2

0

0

95

85

37

124

1.28

2010

JR

SEC

9-2

2.24

16

16

0

0

0

100

71

49

139

1.19


27. A.J. Cole - RHP - WAS - 6'4 180 - 1.5.92. High School: Winter Springs (FL) Drafted: 4th Round 2010. The Nationals secured their draft A grade on their 2010 draft by signing Cole away from his Miami (FL) commitment for $2,000.000.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

NYP

Rk

0-0

0.00

1

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

2.000


28. Tyler Skaggs - LHP - ARI - 6'4" 195 - 7.13.91. High School: Venice (CA) Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (40th Overall - LAA) 2009. Skaggs was on his way to having a breakout year when the Angles sent him and Joe Saunders to Arizona for Dan Haren and he didn't slow down when he switched teams.


Year

LG

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SHO

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2010

MWL

A-

9-5

3.29

23

18

0

0

0

98.1

91

25

102

1.180


29. Anthony Ranaudo - BOS - 6'7" 230 - 9.9.89. College: LSU Drafted: 1st Round Supplemental (39th Overall) 2010. Ranaudo entered the 2010 season in a three horse race with Bryce Harper and Jamison Taillon but stumbled out of the gate. Shoulder soreness sidelined him early and he wasn't able to get on track upon his return. I still like his potential to become a Roy Halliday type work horse, but he's no sure thing to get there.


Year

Class

Level

W-L

ERA

G

GS

CG

SH

SV

IP

H

BB

K

WHIP

2008

FR

NCAA

1-0

0.00

8

1

0

0

0

12

5

6

13

0.92

2009

SO

NCAA

12-3

3.04

19

19

0

0

0

124

93

50

159

1.15

2010

JR

NCAA

5-3

7.32

15

11

0

0

0

51

60

27

54

1.68


30. Stetson Allie - RHP - PIT - 6'2" 220 - 3.13.91. High School: St. Edward (OH) Drafted: 2nd Round 2010. I went back and forth on whether or not to include Allie on this list. I've gotta respect prep arms that can hit triple digits, but he's going to walk a lot of batters. It'll be a roller coaster ride but it'll be fun to watch. Click here for my scouting report on Allie.



**No Statistics Available on Allie**



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6 comments:

  1. How is John Lamb not any top 30 list?

    ReplyDelete
  2. I like Lamb a lot. I guess I just like Montgomery and the other 29 guys a little more.

    ReplyDelete
  3. How about Banuelos?

    ReplyDelete
  4. My first draft of my top 30 had Banuelos in the 27-30 range but ultimately I think he's going to end up in the bullpen as a LH specialist. I think his talent is such that the Yankees will have a need for him in that role sooner rather than later and also, at 5'10" 155 the pen might be the best spot for him.

    ReplyDelete
  5. great ranking but where are those pitching prospect ? scheppers tex, cosart phi, lamb kc, duffy kc, delgado alt

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thanks for the comment. Cosart, Lamb and Duffy just didn't make the cut. I could have easily listed 100 starting pitching prospects, but wanted to give a more detailed look at the 30 I like the most. Scheppers came in at #4 on my relief pitcher rankings and Delgado came in at #12 in the list above.

    ReplyDelete